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中国中长期经济增长速度处于趋势性放缓的过程中,主要是由于供给面的劳动力增长、资本增长和效率提升三大因素发生变化,即前两者的贡献减弱而效率提升的压力加大。考虑到资源环境等综合成本上升和利润空间缩小,高投资、高消耗、高排放的模式不可持续,经济增速放慢更是顺理成章。伴随经济减速,深层次变化正在发生:投资、消费与出口三大需求的关系趋向协调,第三产业成为经济增长新动力和就业主渠道,国际收支改善和出口
In the course of the trend slowdown, the growth rate of China’s medium and long-term economic growth is mainly due to changes in the three major factors of supply-side labor force growth, capital growth and efficiency increase, namely, the pressure on the former two weakened while the efficiency increased. Taking into account the comprehensive cost of resources and environment rise and shrinking profit margins, high investment, high consumption, high emission model is not sustainable, economic slowdown is a matter of course. With the economic slowdown, deep-seated changes are taking place: the relations between the three major needs of investment, consumption and exports tend to be coordinated; the tertiary industry has become the new impetus to economic growth and the main channel for employers; and the balance of payments improvement and exports