一、社会预警需求剧增的背景近期,因非典型肺炎的发生,也因伊拉克战争从一触即发到炮声隆隆,令“预警”这个词在媒体上曝光率极高。各行各业,也纷纷提出要建立预警机制。所谓预警,即预告警示。预警功能的应用,最早大概是在气象、自然灾害、经济和军事的预测领域,今天则延伸到社会的各个层面,包括旅游、医药、IT、房地产、城市就业,甚至妇女维权。“社会预警需求”急剧增大,需求面大范围拓宽,呼唤预 I. Background of Sharp Increase in Social Warning Demand Recently, the word “warning” has been highly exposed in the media due to the onset of atypical pneumonia and the explosion of gunships due to the war in Iraq. All walks of life, have also proposed to establish early warning mechanism. The so-called early warning, that is warning. The early warning function was first applied to the fields of weather forecast, natural disaster, economic and military forecast. Today it extends to all levels of society including tourism, medicine, IT, real estate, urban employment and even the rights of women. “Social warning demand ” increased sharply, broaden the scope of demand, call pre-