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房地产业与金融业是国民经济发展中两个重要的行业,而房地产业是一个资金密集型产业,随着我国经济快速发展,房地产行业发展迅速,一般而言,房地产业的繁荣与稳定,离不开金融业的参与和支持,同时房地产业的繁荣也促进了金融业的快速发展。本文基于2000年10月-2008年11月反映房地产业和金融业相互关系各大指标的月度数据,构建时间序列回归模型,对房地产业与金融业的关系进行了协整分析。得出结论:我国房地产业的发展规模与效益与金融业的发展短期波动具有相互影响性,并且受到长期均衡的影响。
Real estate and financial industry are two important industries in the development of national economy. Real estate is a capital-intensive industry. With the rapid economic development in our country, the real estate industry is developing rapidly. In general, the prosperity and stability of the real estate industry, Do not open the financial sector’s participation and support, while the real estate boom also contributed to the rapid development of the financial industry. Based on the monthly data from October 2000 to November 2008 that reflect the major indicators of the interrelationship between the real estate industry and the financial industry, this paper constructs the time series regression model and makes a cointegration analysis on the relationship between the real estate industry and the financial industry. It is concluded that the scale and the benefit of the real estate industry in our country interact with the short-term fluctuations of the development of the financial industry, and are affected by the long-term equilibrium.