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扩大国内消费需求是“十二五”规划的首要任务,中国典型的二元经济结构决定了扩大国内消费的复杂性。本文建立VAR模型分析,得出政府消费支出对城镇居民消费和农村居民消费存在截然相反的作用机制,城镇居民消费和农村居民消费之间也存在迥异的作用机制和作用效果。当前扩大国内消费需求要在控制好政府消费支出的同时,引导好城镇居民消费,重点刺激农村居民消费,这对拉动整个国内居民消费具有非常重要的意义。
The expansion of domestic consumption demand is the top priority of the 12th Five-Year Plan. The typical dual economic structure in China determines the complexity of expanding domestic consumption. This paper establishes a VAR model analysis, draws the government consumption expenditure on urban residents consumption and rural residents consumption there is a diametrically opposite mechanism, there is a very different mechanism and effect between urban residents consumption and rural residents consumption. The current expansion of domestic consumer demand in the control of government spending while at the same time, to guide the consumption of urban residents, focusing on stimulating rural consumption, which is to stimulate the consumption of the entire country has a very important significance.