王建认为,当前的中国经济虽然出现了增长加速势头,但其基础并不牢固,很有可能在今年下半年再次走出向下的曲线,而真正能走出低谷尚待时日。 首先看经济增长的结构,动力来源主要是两个方面,一是由国债投资所形成的对重工业的拉动。今年上半年,重工业增长高达12.2％,比轻工业高出2.3个百分点。重工业提供的产值在新增工业增加值中的比重高达63.7％,而 Wang Jian believes that although China’s current economy is accelerating its growth, its foundation is not solid and is likely to once again go down the downward curve in the second half of this year and it will take time to get out of the slump. First of all, look at the structure of economic growth, the source of power is mainly two aspects, one is formed by the bond investment driven by heavy industry. In the first half of this year, heavy industry grew by as much as 12.2%, 2.3 percentage points higher than that of light industry. The output value provided by heavy industry accounts for 63.7% of the added value added of the industrial sector