概述了震前预滑引起的长周期形变波的研究历史,在短期预报中的意义及国内外的研究动态,包括笔者的一些最新研究结果。其余文章均为译文,阐述了地震预报的现状与展望以及研究计划,报道了地壳上升与隆起现象,介绍了有关地震现象及著名学者生平等。 The research history of the long-period deformation wave caused by the pre-slip pre-slip, the significance in the short-term forecasting and the research trends at home and abroad are summarized, including some recent research results of the author. The rest of the articles are all translations. The paper presents the status quo and prospect of earthquake prediction and its research plan, reports the rising and uplifting of the crust, and introduces the related earthquake phenomena and the equality of famous scholars.