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最近10年中国各省经济分布与人口分布的协调性低于美国各州的经济分布与人口分布的协调性。简而言之,中国经济发达的省份,人口较少,经济落后的省份,人口较多;相反,美国经济发达的州,人口较多,经济落后的州,人口较少,这意味着中国省际收入差距大于美国州际收入差距。但中国省际经济分布与人口分布的协调性正在增强,美国州际协调性正在减弱,这意味着经济分布与人口分布的协调性很可能是震荡着增加,而非所谓的先下降后上升。在中国经济还在转型的今天,选择加大发达省份的人口聚集和落后省份的经济聚集的调控组合,能更好地实现经济发展和区域差距缩小的双重目标;在发达省份产业升级后,因为发达省份特殊的产业结构,将无法吸纳更多的人口聚集,人口迁移在降低区域差距和提升经济发展方面的作用将逐渐降低,相反通过调整经济分布实现缩小区域差距和提升经济的作用将越来越重要。最后,在如今产业转型的背景下,是否应该反思如今中国经济越发达的省份,户籍管制越严格的制度。
In the recent 10 years, the coordination between economic distribution and population distribution in all provinces of China has been lower than that of the economic distribution and population distribution in various states of the United States. In short, China’s economically developed provinces have a relatively small population and economically backward provinces, with a large population. On the contrary, the economically developed states in the United States have a large population and less economically backward state with a smaller population, which means that the provinces of China Inter-national income gap is greater than the United States interstate income gap. However, the coordination between China’s inter-provincial economic distribution and population distribution is increasing, and the interstate coordination in the United States is weakening. This means that the coordination between economic distribution and population distribution is likely to be increased by concussion rather than the so-called first decline and then rise. At a time when China’s economy is still undergoing transformation, choosing to increase the population control in the developed provinces and adjusting and controlling the economic accumulation in the backward provinces can better achieve the dual goals of economic development and regional disparities. After the industrial upgrading in the developed provinces, The special industrial structure of the developed provinces will not be able to absorb more population and the role of population migration in reducing regional disparities and economic growth will gradually decrease. On the contrary, the role of population reduction in regional disparities and economic growth through adjustment of economic distribution will be more and more The more important. Finally, in the context of the current industrial restructuring, should we reflect on the more stringent household registration controls in the more economically developed provinces of China today.