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本文论述溢油模拟的现状和可能的研究方向，指出在设计理想的溢油模式时必须考虑在溢油过程中同时发生的物理和化学过程。理想的溢油预报模式必须能提供快速反应、应急计划及人员与设备使用等方面所需的信息．进行流体动力学计算，并对油的运行提供准确、实时、全方位预报，需要大量的计算和大容量的计算设备．目前，最有希望的计算设备似乎是向量巨型电子计算机，在溢油发生之前，其中就存入了一些必要的地形、水深及潮汐资料．并联处理机的使用方法可能与此相同．但是，现在使用的计算机编码是按串联机设计的，因此必须对它进行并联结构的实质性改造．高级小型计算机技术正在迅速发展，很快就能处理数量很大的流体编码，且具有轻便、廉价的优点，而目前的个人计算机不能获得准确的溢油流场预报，所以尚不能满足大容量计算模式准确度的要求．
In this paper, the current situation of oil spill simulation and possible research directions are discussed. It is pointed out that the physical and chemical processes that occur simultaneously in oil spill must be considered in the design of ideal oil spill mode. The ideal oil spill forecasting model must provide the information needed for rapid response, contingency planning and the use of personnel and equipment. Hydrodynamics calculations, and to provide accurate, real-time, all-round forecast of oil operations, requiring a large number of calculations and large-capacity computing equipment. At present, the most promising computing device seems to be a vector giant computer, storing some of the necessary topography, water depth and tide information before oil spills. Parallel processors may be used in the same way. However, the computer code that is used today is designed in tandem, so it must be substantially modified in parallel. Advanced small form factor computer technology is rapidly evolving, capable of handling a large number of fluid codes soon, and has the advantages of being lightweight and inexpensive. At present, personal computers can not obtain accurate prediction of oil spill flow fields, so they still can not meet the needs of large-capacity computing Mode accuracy requirements.