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瑞士银行公司分析家们认为,世界市场明年对有色金属的需求动态是: 铝:由于炼铝厂(特别是在南非和伊朗)的生产能力预计在1996～1997年会提高100多万吨,所以来年的库存估计会进一步增加。 铜:预计明年生产会过剩,价格会下降。 铅:价格在每吨800～900美元之间摆动,价格依然走高。由于回收利用率不断提高(差不多相当于提炼厂生产的60％),明年的情况将会有所缓和。
UBS analysts think the world demand for non-ferrous metals next year will be: Aluminum: As the capacity of aluminum smelters (especially in South Africa and Iran) is expected to increase by more than 1 million tons in 1996-1997, The coming year’s inventory estimates will further increase. Copper: Expected overproduction next year, prices will decline. Lead: the price swing between 800 to 900 US dollars per ton, the price is still higher. As the recycling rate continues to rise (almost 60% of the refinery’s production), the situation will ease somewhat next year.