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利用2003~2012年中国省级面板数据,采用动态空间计量模型实证分析了产业集聚对制造业“新型化”发展的影响。空间自相关性检验显示,省域制造业“新型化”程度综合能力存在显著的全局空间自相关性和局部空间集聚效应。动态空间回归结果表明,产业集聚整体上有利于制造业“新型化”发展;从作用途径分析来看,产业集聚主要是通过提高经济创造能力、科技创新能力和社会服务能力来促进制造业“新型化”发展,产业集聚显著降低了环境保护能力,而抑制了制造业“新型化”发展,产业集聚对能源节约能力作用不显著而对制造业“新型化”发展影响不明显。
Using the provincial panel data of China from 2003 to 2012, the dynamic spatial econometric model was used to empirically analyze the impact of industrial agglomeration on the development of new manufacturing. The test of spatial autocorrelation shows that there are significant global spatial autocorrelation and local spatial agglomeration effects in the comprehensive capacity of provincial manufacturing “newness”. The results of dynamic spatial regression indicate that industrial agglomeration is conducive to the development of manufacturing “new type ” as a whole; from the perspective of the analysis of the role of channels, industrial agglomeration promotes the manufacturing industry by improving economic creativity, technological innovation and social service capabilities. “New type ” development, industrial agglomeration has significantly reduced the ability to protect the environment, and inhibited the development of “new-style ” manufacturing, industrial agglomeration has no significant effect on energy conservation, and “new” development of manufacturing The effect is not obvious.