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一、“十二五”期间我国钢铁工业宏观形势的展望1.我国钢铁工业发展的有利条件(1)我国国内生产总值将继续保持年均8%及以上增长,固定资产投资继续保持年均16%及以上增长;(2)第二产业增加值将保持7.7%及以上增长速度;(3)我国将加快推进城镇化、工业化速度;(4)加快国内产业调整,扩大国内消费需求。2.我国钢铁工业发展的制约条件(1)为应对国际金融危机而实施了空前规模的基础设施建设,从而预支了未来的钢材消费;(2)出口对我国经济增长的拉动作用减弱,影响了钢材间接出口;(3)产业结构升级,钢材消费强度降低;(4)环境保护与低碳经济将制约钢材消费强度。综上所述,“十二五”期间,我国钢材消费量
I. Prospect of China’s Iron and Steel Industry Macroeconomic Situation during the 12th Five-year Plan Period 1. Favorable Conditions for the Development of China’s Iron and Steel Industry (1) China’s GDP will continue to grow at an average annual rate of 8% or above and investment in fixed assets will continue to be maintained Average annual growth rate of 16% or above; (2) the added value of secondary industry will maintain a growth rate of 7.7% and above; (3) China will speed up the pace of urbanization and industrialization; (4) speed up domestic industrial restructuring and increase domestic consumption demand . 2. Restrictions on the development of China’s iron and steel industry (1) In response to the global financial crisis, an unprecedented scale of infrastructure construction has been implemented to prepend the future consumption of steel products. (2) The pulling effect of exports on China’s economic growth has weakened and affected Indirect exports of steel products; (3) upgrading of industrial structure and reduction of steel consumption intensity; (4) environmental protection and low-carbon economy will restrict the intensity of steel consumption. To sum up, during the “Twelve-Five” period, China’s steel consumption