欧洲共同体委员会与Riso国家实验所(丹麦,Roskilde)合作共同组织了一次“城市环境事故污染后果”的学术讨论会。为了评价核装置可能的危险性,为了提供输入信息以便就厂址选择、应急计划和可洪选择的设计方案进行决策,若干事故后果概率模式正逐步地被采纳。它们在工程结构定量决策中的应用既显示出模式预测的可靠性或精度,又提供了这些模式可适应性的范 The Commission of the European Communities, in cooperation with the Riso National Laboratory (Roskilde, Denmark), organized a symposium on the “Consequences of pollution in urban environmental accidents”. In order to assess the possible dangers of nuclear installations, a number of accident consequence probability models are being gradually adopted in order to provide input for decision-making on site selection, contingency planning and flood-selectable design options. Their application in the quantitative decision-making of engineering structures not only shows the reliability or accuracy of the model prediction, but also provides a model for the adaptability of these models