一、外部环境将有改善 国家信息中心常务 副主任刘鹤认为,从当前 国际经济形势来看,中国经济明年的外部环境将有改善。 首先,东南亚经济已见谷底,现在出现了复苏迹象。其次,亚洲头号经济大国日本,经济已停滞了10年,现在正借金融危机开始改革。第三,俄罗斯再度爆发大规模危机的可能性不大。第四,尽管美国经济还有泡沫,但不会出现大 I. The external environment will be improved Liu He, executive deputy director of the State Information Center, believes that from the current international economic situation, the external environment of China’s economy will be improved next year. First of all, the economy of Southeast Asia has bottomed out and signs of recovery are now emerging. Secondly, Japan, the number one economic power in Asia, has stagnated its economy for 10 years and is now starting to reform its financial crisis. Third, Russia is unlikely to have another large-scale crisis. Fourth, although there is still a bubble in the U.S. economy, it will not show up