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构建煤、电企业间的交易发展模型,分析中国煤电交易的稳定匹配的作用机理和规模联动的动态过程。首先,界定“煤电交易”的属性和治理结构;其次,优化延迟选择和拒绝机制,形成适合于煤电交易的匹配算法;再次,为偏好排序构建得分数、潜在收益、意愿信任和弹性模型,利用自适应系统进行边界选择;最后,通过模拟仿真,验证理论假设、算法可行性和模型有效性。结果表明:(1)效率可保证企业的有效供给和产出,信任的地位应仅次于收益;(2)当发电企业对煤电企业的打分高于自身的得分数时,发电企业会倾向于“购买”煤炭;(3)控制和调整煤炭产业规模方面,既应合理适度地淘汰产能落后的现役煤炭企业,又应通过发电企业设置必要的市场准入壁垒。
Construct the transaction development model between coal and electricity enterprises, and analyze the mechanism of the stable matching of coal and electricity trade in China and the dynamic process of scale linkage. First, define the attributes and governance structure of “coal trading”; secondly, optimize the delay selection and rejection mechanisms to form a matching algorithm suitable for coal trading; thirdly, for ranking preference scores, potential benefits, willingness to trust and Flexible model, the use of adaptive systems for boundary selection; Finally, through simulation, verify the theoretical assumptions, algorithm feasibility and model validity. The results show that: (1) efficiency can guarantee the effective supply and output of enterprises, and the status of trust should be second only to earnings; (2) when the power generation enterprises scored higher than their own scores, the power generation enterprises would tend to (3) In controlling and adjusting the scale of the coal industry, it is necessary to eliminate the active coal enterprises with backward production capacities reasonably and moderately, and set necessary market access barriers through power generation enterprises.