全球经济面对过剩危机不少经济学家都注意到亚洲金融危机,根本的原因是生产能力过剩,目前全球都面对生产能力过剩的严重危机。因此通过出口带动增长这一条路根本走不通。以预见如神而闻名全球的美国经济学者拉巴特拉(Ravi Ba-tra)曾进一步指出:“供应来自生产或劳动生产力,而需求来自工资,如果实际工资与生产力发展同步,供求平衡就得以维持,然而工资增长落后或逾越生产力,短期内可以通过其他生产要素勉强维持,但长期而言,将会造成通胀或衰退,甚至萧条的恶 The Global Economy Facing Excess Crisis Many economists have noticed the Asian financial crisis. The fundamental reason is that there is excess production capacity. At present, the world faces a serious crisis of overcapacity. Therefore, an export-led growth this road simply can not get through. Ravi Ba-tra, a U.S. economist who is known globally for his foresight, once further pointed out: ”Supply comes from production or labor productivity, and demand comes from wages. If the real wages are in pace with the productivity growth, supply and demand balance However, wage growth lags behind or exceeds productivity in the short run and can be maintained by other factors of production in the short run. In the long run, however, it will cause inflation or recession or even depression