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2015年日本经济总体呈现震荡走弱态势。由于内需复苏未能持续,年内始终没有形成回暖或衰退的明确信号,经济基本处于“停滞”状态,全年仅微幅收增0.5%。今年,预计安倍政府新一轮改革措施及TPP协议达成将一定程度提升市场信心,加之2017年增税计划可能带来提前消费,有望刺激内需回暖,带动经济增速有所加快。总体看,日本发展战略与我“十三五”规划方向的竞争性有所增强,但中日两国在科技创新、双边投资和区域合作等方面仍有较大合作空间。
Japan’s economy in 2015 showed a general trend of weakening. Due to the failure of domestic demand recovery, there was no clear signal of recovery or recession during the year. The economy was basically in a “standstill” condition with only a slight increase of 0.5% for the whole year. This year, it is estimated that the new round of reform measures by the Abe government and the agreement reached by the TPP will enhance market confidence to a certain extent. In addition, the tax increase plan for 2017 may bring in advance consumption and is expected to stimulate domestic demand and accelerate the economic growth. In general, the competitiveness of Japan in its development strategy and that in the “13th Five-year Plan” has been enhanced. However, there is still room for greater cooperation between China and Japan in science and technology innovation, bilateral investment and regional cooperation.