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本研究利用经典的IPAT模型,定量分析了水资源消费量与产业结构之间的关系,通过优化建模软件lingo10.0,获得在不同控水条件下,水资源消费量与产业结构之间的关系。在上述研究的基础上,以石羊河流域武威市为例,设置9种不同的发展情景,分析了在何种情景下最有利于减缓水资源消费需求。结果表明:在加速经济增长、合理调整产业结构、加强节水的强控水措施下,最有利于实现武威市经济与水资源消费稳步发展,此时武威市2015年的水资源消费量为148 384.10m3,地区生产总值为3 584 787.01万元。
In this study, the classical IPAT model was used to quantitatively analyze the relationship between water consumption and industrial structure. Through optimization modeling software lingo10.0, the relationship between water consumption and industrial structure under different water control conditions relationship. Based on the above studies, taking Wuwei City of Shiyanghe River as an example, nine different development scenarios were set up to analyze the situations under which it is most conducive to mitigate the water consumption needs. The results show that under the measures of accelerating economic growth, rationally adjusting the industrial structure and strengthening water conservation, it is most conducive to the steady development of economy and water consumption in Wuwei City. At this moment, the water consumption of Wuwei City in 2015 was 148 384.10m3, with a GDP of 35,484,787.01 million yuan.