论文部分内容阅读
消费活动在再生产过程中既是终点又是起点,在经济循环中起到先导作用。相对于投资需求和出口需求而言,消费需求对经济增长的导向和拉动作用更加重要。本文主要以消费对北京市经济发展的拉动作用为主要切入点,以提高最终消费率这一指标为主线,基于马尔科夫分析法对北京市“十二五”期间最终消费率进行预测分析,并提出如何提高北京市的最终消费率以促进其经济持久发展的对策。
Consumer activities in the reproduction process is both an end and a starting point, playing a leading role in the economic cycle. Relative to the investment demand and export demand, the role of consumer demand in guiding and stimulating economic growth is even more important. This paper mainly focuses on the driving effect of consumption on economic development in Beijing as the main point, and takes the index of increasing final consumption rate as the main line, and predicts the final consumption rate of Beijing during the “12th Five-year Plan” based on Markov’s analysis Analysis, and put forward how to improve the final consumption rate in Beijing to promote the sustainable development of its economy.