2001年美国炭疽邮件恐怖事件发生后,相关学者对生物恐怖,特别是对炭疽恐怖事件的危害评估,展开了深入研究。本文从确定炭疽芽孢杆菌芽孢浓度分布的扩散模型和确定发病率同芽孢剂量关系的剂量响应模型两个方面,对目前炭疽恐怖事件的人员危害的定量评估研究状况和前瞻作一综述。 After the 2001 terrorist attacks on anthrax in the United States, relevant scholars conducted an in-depth study on the assessment of the threat of biological terror, especially the anthrax terrorist incident. In this paper, we reviewed the current status of research on the quantitative assessment of the current anthrax terrorist incidents and its prospects from two aspects: the diffusion model to determine the concentration distribution of Bacillus anthracis and the dose response model to determine the relationship between the incidence and the spore dose.