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国内小麦市场9月下旬至10月中旬,在面粉消费好转、饲料替代效应明显的提振下,摆脱夏粮收购后期的弱势态势,整体上涨60-100元/吨;10月中下旬,在国际粮价持续下跌、进口小麦性价比优势凸显;国内玉米集中上市,市场价格较新玉米上市前已下跌15%以上,小麦玉米价差明显缩小,饲料替代效应减弱;国内面粉消费需求未有明显好转;粮食贸易商、粮库政策预期减弱及还贷压力刺激加大出库力度,市场供给量充裕等一系列综合因素影响,步入11月份,国内小麦市场行情整体重归弱势。
Domestic wheat market in late September to mid-October, flour consumption improved, the obvious boost to feed substitution effect, to get rid of the weak trend of the latter part of the acquisition of summer grain, the overall rise of 60-100 yuan / ton; in late October, in the International Food The price of wheat continued to fall, the price advantage of imported wheat highlighted; domestic corn market, the market price of newer corn before the market has dropped more than 15%, wheat and corn spread significantly reduced, feed substitution effect weakened; domestic flour consumption demand has not significantly improved; food trade As a result, a series of comprehensive factors such as the weakening of the commercial and grain depot policies and the repayment pressure to stimulate the expansion of warehouses and the abundant supply of the market, entered the general weakness of the domestic wheat market in November.