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进入21世纪,中国玉米生产连年向好,除2003年和2009年因灾减产外,其他年份玉米生产总体均保持增长局面,国内供需关系基本实现了由长期短缺到总量大体平衡、丰年有余的历史性转变。玉米消费也由食用、饲用拓展到工业初、深加工领域。2012年中国玉米再创历史纪录,国内新增供给达到2.056亿t,加上急剧增加的进口玉米,国内玉米供求关系发生了较大变化,供给过剩压力初露端倪。2013年中国玉米丰收已成定局,国内供给将更加宽松,如果不考虑重大自然灾害,未来2~3年国内玉米供给将呈现宽松向平衡过渡态势。
In the 21st century, China’s maize production has been improving year after year. Except for the loss in 2003 and 2009, the overall maize production in other years maintained a growth situation. The domestic supply and demand basically achieved a general balance from a long-term shortage to a total sum, Historic change. Consumption of corn is also consumed by food, feed expanded to industrial early, deep processing field. In 2012, a new record for corn production in China reached 205.6 million tons. With the sharp increase in imported corn, there has been a great change in the supply and demand of maize in China. Over-supply pressure is on the horizon. In 2013, the maize harvest in China will be a foregone conclusion and the domestic supply will be more relaxed. If we do not consider major natural disasters, the supply of domestic corn will show a transition from a loose to a balanced state in the next two to three years.