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本文在借鉴国内外先行指标研究的基础上,对区域经济金融指标进行筛选,构建经济运行先行指标体系,并用于对区域经济走势的判断,得到了良好的效果。本文使用中部某省份的经济金融数据对先行指标体系进行了实证,认为经济运行继续朝着宏观调控的预期方向发展,未来持续平稳增长的可能性较大,但面临的形势依然复杂,应将调控重点放在转变经济发展方式和优化经济结构,并对区域宏观调控提出了有针对性的政策建议。
Based on the research of advanced indicators both at home and abroad, this paper selects the regional economic and financial indicators, constructs the leading index system of economic operation and uses it to judge the trend of regional economy, and obtains good results. This paper uses the economic and financial data of a province in the central region to test the leading index system. It believes that the economic operation will continue to develop in the expected direction of macroeconomic regulation and control and the possibility of steady and steady growth will be greater in the future. However, the situation is still complicated. Therefore, Emphasis will be placed on transforming the mode of economic development and optimizing the economic structure and putting forward targeted policy recommendations on regional macro-control.