,Phase-and epidemic region-adjusted estimation of the number of coronavirus disease 2019 cases in Ch

来源 :医学前沿 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:a873322604
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
The outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 in China was first reported in Wuhan in December 2019 and gradually spread to other areas in China.After implementation of prevention and control measures,the estimation of the epidemic trend is needed.A phase-and region-adjusted SEIR model was applied for modeling and predicting the number of cases in Wuhan,Hubei Province and regions outside Hubei Province in China.The estimated number of infections could reach its peak in late February 2020 in Wuhan and Hubei Province,which is 55 303-84 520 and 83 944-129 312,respectively,while the epidemic peaks in regions outside Hubei Province in China could appear on February 13,2020 with the estimated 13 035-19 108 cases.According to the estimation,the outbreak would abate in March and April all over China.Current estimation provided evidence for planned work resumption under stringent prevention and control in China to further support the fight against the epidemic.Nevertheless,there is still possibility of the second outbreak brought by the work resumption and population migration,especially from Hubei Province and high intensity cities outside Hubei Province.Strict prevention and control measures still need to be considered in the regions with high intensity of epidemic and densely-populated cities.
其他文献
本试验就我国目前用于抗小麦干热风的几种化学药剂对蚕豆气孔开张度和小麦蒸腾失水的影响作了测定。结果表明,亚硫酸氢钠、石油助长剂、腐质酸、二氯化钙、水杨酸、8—羟基喹
本文通过对荣华二采区10
期刊
目的对比评价双能量能谱CT定量参数与常规CT影像特点术前诊断甲状腺乳头状癌病人的颈部转移性淋巴结。材料与方法本研究经伦理委员会批准,病人签署知情 Objective To compar
An effective eradication therapy of Helicobacter priori (H.pylori) should be used for the first time.In this study,we assessed whether tailored therapy based on
针对玉米自交系较难诱导高质量愈伤组织的问题,本试验以郑22、掖478和郑58三个自交系为材料,研究了不同激素、不同浓度及其配比对愈伤组织诱导和生长的影响。结果表明:愈伤组织诱导率和愈伤质量存在基因型差异,对郑22较易诱导出高质量愈伤的材料,可直接用含2mg·L-12,4-D的诱导培养基诱导,用添加2mg·L-12,4-D的培养基进行继代培养;对于郑58和掖478等较难诱导愈伤的材料,可使用2~3
自20世纪90年代以来,世界各国都在加快教育现代化的步伐,教育信息化程度的高低已成为当今世界衡量一个国家综合国力的重要标志。伴随着信息技术的不断发展,信息化教学应用业务也不断丰富起来。  当业务应用系统和资源建设不断发展之时,教育城域网的建设与升级已经不是网络设备的简单搭建。如何构建一个能够保障业务应用服务开展的教育城域网已经成为各教育信息化主管部门的关注热点。   根据对教育城域网的业务应用系统
Influenza causes seasonal outbreaks yearly and unpredictable pandemics with high morbidity and mortality rates.Despite significant efforts to address influenza,
Ceara海隆ODP927站位(5°27.7′N, 44°28.8′W)的陆源和钙质粉砂组分的颗粒分析,浮游有孔虫和底栖有孔虫稳定同位素(C.Wuellerstorfi的δ13C、δ18O值)保存数据被用来重建0.
通辽市大罕乡种稻壮元、大罕站村农民徐成海1990年水稻又获大丰收,40亩稻田总产两万多公斤,平均亩产500多公斤;其中有10亩为高产地块,平均亩产685公斤。总收入达18200元,纯
Human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-matched donors for hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) have long been scarce in China.Haploidentical (haplo) donors are