本文拟在分析研究日本经济的现状与发展趋势的基础上,展望本世纪末日本经济的前景。 一、日本经济的现状 自1985年日元升值以来,日本经济形势发生了十分重要的变化。现阶段日本经济正处在以国内需求为主导实现经济增长的局面,在日元急剧升值和持续坚挺的背景下,日本经济先后经过两个不同的经济波动阶段,即自1985年第三季度到1986年第四季度的不景气阶段和自1987 This article intends to look forward to the prospects of Japan’s economy by the end of this century on the basis of an analysis of the current situation and development trend of Japan’s economy. I. The Present Situation of Japan’s Economy Since the appreciation of the yen in 1985, Japan’s economic situation has undergone a very significant change. At the present stage, the Japanese economy is in a situation of economic growth dominated by domestic demand. Against the background of the sharp appreciation of the yen and its continued strength, the Japanese economy has gone through two different stages of economic fluctuation, from the third quarter of 1985 to the present. The fourth quarter of 1986, the recession phase and since 1987