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2016年1—8月,我国社会消费品零售总额增速基本保持稳定,但网络零售额依旧持续了较高增长;虽然农村社会消费品零售总额增速依然高于城镇,但是差距正变得越来越小;汽车销售和石油及制品类消费增速都显著回升;信息消费增速回落而服务消费市场持续走高;房地产市场表现良好;居民消费意愿及对当前和未来消费形势并不明朗。预计未来一段时间,消费需求继续上行动力不足,消费升级转型持续推进,汽车消费出现大幅增长的可能性不大,不同城市房屋价格走势将持续分化。鉴于此,政府可以通过支持服务业的发展、推进供给侧改革、提高低收入群体收入水平、规范文化娱乐产业发展使居民消费更加合理、健康、充满活力。
From January to August 2016, the growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods in our country remained basically stable, but the online retail sales still maintained a relatively high growth. Although the growth rate of total retail sales of social consumer goods in rural areas is still higher than that of urban areas, the gap is getting wider and wider Small; the sales growth of automobiles and the growth of petroleum and product categories all picked up significantly; the growth rate of information consumption dropped while that of service consumer markets continued to rise; the real estate market performed well; the willingness of residents to consume and the current and future consumption situation were not clear. It is expected that for some time to come, consumer demand will continue to have insufficient upward momentum, the promotion of consumption upgrading and transformation will continue to progress, the possibility of a substantial increase in automobile consumption is unlikely, and housing prices in different cities will continue to diverge. In view of this, the government can promote supply-side reform, raise the income level of low-income groups, standardize the development of cultural and entertainment industries, and make residents consume more reasonable, healthy and energetic by supporting the development of service industry.