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在有关国际贸易隐含碳的研究中,大多使用竞争型投入产出模型,同时农产品贸易隐含碳少有提及。文章通过构建非竞争型投入产出模型精确地评估了1995～2005年中国农产品贸易隐含的CO2。结果表明:中国农业的CO2排放不容忽视,需要进一步加大节能减排力度;农产品生产所排放的CO2有3.71%～4.50%是由出口所产生的,农产品消费所排放的CO2有3.29%～10.10%是由进口来满足的,尤其是中间投入的进口“节省”了大量的CO2排放;农产品净出口隐含的CO2不断减少,中国逐渐成为农产品CO2排放净进口国,农产品贸易为节能减排做出了贡献。
In studies of the implicit carbon in international trade, most of them use competitive input-output models, while seldom mentioning implicit carbon in agricultural trade. By constructing a non-competitive input-output model, the paper accurately estimates the CO2 implied by China’s agricultural trade in 1995-2005. The results showed that: China’s agricultural CO2 emissions can not be ignored, the need to further increase energy-saving emission reduction efforts; 3.71% -4.50% of the emissions of agricultural products produced by the export of agricultural emissions from the consumption of 3.29% ~ 10.10 % Is imported to meet, especially imported “save” a lot of CO2 emissions; CO2 implied net exports of agricultural products continue to decline, China has gradually become a net importer of agricultural products CO2 emissions, trade in agricultural products for energy saving Row made a contribution.