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论文以1997-2015年中国省级平衡面板数据为基础,运用网格搜索突变点、Bootstrap仿真序贯检验等方法和具有多个门槛值效应的面板门槛模型做实证分析,研究中国人均公共卫生支出与居民消费之间是否存在非线性关系,并进一步检验这种关系是否存在地域差别。实证结果表明,一方面,人均公共卫生支出对居民消费存在显著的促进效应,且当人均公共卫生支出增加,该促进效应将增强;另一方面,人均公共卫生支出对居民消费的促进效果有着显著地区差异,呈现西部省份远强于东中部省份的特点。
Based on the data of China’s provincial balanced panel from 1997 to 2015, this dissertation uses the methods of grid search mutation point, Bootstrap simulation sequential inspection and panel threshold model with multiple threshold effects to make an empirical analysis of China’s per capita public health expenditure And whether there is a non-linear relationship between consumption and residents, and further test whether there is a geographical difference in this relationship. Empirical results show that on the one hand, per capita public health expenditure has a significant promoting effect on household consumption, and when the per capita public health expenditure increases, the promotion effect will be enhanced; on the other hand, the per capita public health expenditure has a significant promotion effect on household consumption Regional differences show that the western provinces are far stronger than those in the eastern central provinces.