根据全球航空维修市场预测,2018年全球机队结构必须做出重大调整,而且现在这种调整已露端倪。据航空周刊的预测,未来十年,全球民用飞机数量将增长3.9%,约32500架。相应地,其维修市值也可能将以3.2%的复合年增长率(CAGR)增长,到2022年将达到690亿美元。这一增长率看似较低,或许表明未来几年内航空公司的运力增长将受到限制,尽管这些数字还有待进一步核实,但它们蕴含着很多含义。首先,在未来十年内,民用飞机机队将会发生相当大的变化,飞机交付量预计达17000架, According to the forecast of the global aviation maintenance market, the structure of the global fleet must be adjusted significantly by 2018, and this adjustment is now on the horizon. According to the forecast of Aviation Week, the number of civil aircraft in the world will increase by 3.9% in the next ten years to about 32,500 aircraft. Accordingly, its maintenance market capitalization is also likely to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.2% to reach 69 billion U.S. dollars by 2022. The seemingly lower rate of growth may indicate that capacity growth of airlines will be limited in the next few years. Although these figures have yet to be further verified, they have many meanings. First of all, there will be considerable changes in the fleet of civil aircraft over the next ten years, with an estimated 17,000 aircraft deliveries,