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2013年前4 个月国内小麦价格以稳为主。2013 年春节过后,在市场粮源有限和制粉企业需求疲弱的双重影响下,小麦市场连续 3 个月保持弱势平衡状态,较高的政策性小麦投放力度保证了市场供给和价格稳定。在新季小麦上市前,预计市场供需格局不会发生根本改变。后期小麦价格一方面取决于新季小麦产量,另一方面也要受到政策取向的显著影响。在综合分析小麦市场基本面和政策面各影响因素的基础上,对后期小麦市场进行展望,认为 2013年中国小麦价格将以温和上涨走势为主。
Domestic wheat prices stabilized in the first four months of 2013. After the Spring Festival in 2013, the wheat market maintained a weak balance for three consecutive months under the dual constraints of limited food supply and weak demand from flour milling enterprises. Higher policy wheat delivery ensured market supply and price stability. Before the new season wheat is listed, it is expected that the market supply and demand pattern will not fundamentally change. Late wheat prices depend on the one hand, the new season wheat production, on the other hand have also been significantly affected by the policy orientation. Based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors affecting wheat fundamentals and policies, the outlook for the latter part of the wheat market is expected. In 2013, the price of wheat in China will be dominated by a modest upward trend.