经济预测是在第二次世界大战后才在西方形成的一门学科。由于战后资本主义经济危机的影响日益加深,垄断资本之间的竞争愈来愈激烈,特别是国家垄断资本主义的发展,政府加强了对经济的调节和干预,政府和企业都迫切需要对未来经济发展变化的前景作出判断,为制订政策和相应的经营决策提供依据,从而促进了经济预测及其理论、方法的研究在西方迅速发展,使经济预测学成为当代西方经济学中的一个新兴的热门学科。从目前西方经济学家的有关经济预测的一些著述来看,大多偏重干预测技术、方法的阐述,对预测理论方面的 Economic forecasting is a discipline formed in the West after the Second World War. Due to the deepening influence of the post-war capitalist economic crisis, the competition among monopoly capital is getting fiercer and fiercer, especially the development of state monopoly capitalism. The government has stepped up its economic regulation and intervention. Both the government and the enterprises are in urgent need of the future economy Development and change of the future to make judgments, to provide the basis for the formulation of policies and the corresponding management decisions, thus contributing to the economic forecasting and its theory, methods, research in the rapid development of the West, making economic forecasting a modern emerging economics in Western economics Subject. From the current Western economists on the economic forecast of some of the writings, most of the emphasis on intervention techniques, methods elaborated on the theory of forecasting