不确定性现象在现实生活中是普遍存在的,其表现形式较多,客观来源也不尽相同。例如,风险就是生活中不确定性现象的表征之一。风险具有极强的不确定性,如风险发生的不确定性,发生时间的不确定性,以及风险损失程度的不确定性等。若想进行风险管理,就必须研究风险的不确定性,掌握不确定性风险的变化规律,找到风险管控的真正突破口。为此,笔者通过总结前人研究 The phenomenon of uncertainty is ubiquitous in real life, with many manifestations and different objective sources. For example, risk is one of the hallmarks of the phenomenon of uncertainty in life. The risks are highly uncertain, such as the uncertainty of the occurrence of the risk, the uncertainty of the time of occurrence and the uncertainty of the extent of the risk loss. If we want to carry out risk management, we must study the uncertainty of risk, grasp the changing law of uncertainty risk and find the real breakthrough of risk control. To this end, I summarize the previous study