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本文通过对江苏省的无锡、常熟、沙洲、海安、洪泽等五县的农村和中小城镇居民出行次数、所选用的交通方式和出行目的等内容的调查,了解到经济发达地区的苏南地区,目前居民乘用汽车、火车、船舶和飞机的年人均出行次数已达29次,大大超过了国家有关部门在1983年所作本世纪末的全国预测数(15次)。文中对产生这种重大差异的原因作了分析,并对客运量预测和客流调查的方法进行了研究和探讨。
Based on surveys on the number of trips by rural residents, small and medium-sized towns and villages in Wuxi, Changshu, Shazhou, Haian and Hongze counties in Jiangsu Province, the selected modes of transportation and purpose of travel, we know that the southern part of the economically developed area At present, the per capita number of trips by residents of passenger cars, trains, ships and aircraft has reached 29 times, far exceeding the national forecast (15) made by the relevant state departments in 1983 at the end of this century. The paper analyzes the causes of such significant differences and studies and discusses the methods of passenger traffic forecasting and passenger flow surveys.