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最近,我们通过建立动态模拟模型,利用TSP分析软件,对1979—1996年18年间我国工农业产值增长与商品零售价格指数变化的关系进行了模拟分析,结果证明:工业高速增长对商品零售价格指数确实起上扬作用,而农业增长速度加快则有平抑物价的效果,要想控制社会物价总水平,必须确立并坚持工农业发展速度的合理比例关系,现具体表述如下:
Recently, through the establishment of a dynamic simulation model and the use of TSP analysis software, we simulated the relationship between the growth of industrial and agricultural output and the change of retail price index during the 18 years from 1979 to 1996. The results show that the rapid industrial growth has a negative effect on the retail price index Indeed, the role of rising has been accelerated. However, the acceleration of agricultural growth has the effect of stabilizing prices. To control the general price level of society, we must establish and maintain a reasonable and proportional relationship between the growth rates of industry and agriculture. The specific formulation is as follows: