本文试图探索在现有各种预报手段的基础上逐渐形成一种比较客观、比较定量的综合预报技术的可能性,並提出一种地震预报的综合概率模式,供地震部门参考,並希望广大地震预报工作者能对这个问题展开讨论。 This paper attempts to explore the possibility of forming a more objective and comparatively quantitative synthetic forecasting technique based on the existing forecasting methods and proposes a comprehensive probabilistic model of earthquake prediction for reference by the seismological department and hopes that the vast earthquake The forecaster can discuss this issue.