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美国经济持续增长已经进入第六个年头。1996年怎么样?在美国有两种看法,一种认为经济增长速度会比去年放慢,另一种认为会比去年快一些,一般认为美国今年不会发生经济衰退。 由于部分政府机构关门,官方数字推迟发表,只能借助于市场信息判断经济走势。从全国采购经理协会1995年12月份的报告看,经济增长速度是放慢了,其综合指数在11月和12月分别为46.5%和47.3%,经验说明在该指数降到50%以下时就标志着工业部门在紧缩。综合指数中具有前瞻性的单项指标是新订单的增减。它从11月的50.1%降到12月的45.9%,说明工厂活动处于消沉状态。
The U.S. economy has been growing for the sixth year in a row. What happened in 1996? There are two views in the United States. One thinks that the rate of economic growth will slow down from last year and the other one thinks it will be faster than last year. Generally, the United States does not expect a recession this year. Due to the closure of some government agencies, official figures postponed publication, only with the help of market information to judge the economic trend. According to the December 1995 report of the National Association of Purchasing Managers, the rate of economic growth is slowing. Its composite index is 46.5% and 47.3% respectively in November and December. Experience shows that when the index drops below 50% Marked the tightening of the industrial sector. The single forward-looking indicator in the composite index is the increase or decrease in new orders. It dropped from 50.1% in November to 45.9% in December, indicating a decline in factory activity.