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随着生物技术的广泛应用,人类的生活必将发生翻天覆地的变化,对于未来的农产品国际贸易格局来说,也将是一场彻底的革新。我国应适时抓住重组赶超的历史机遇,选择最佳的发展模式,去抢占“新文明”经济时代下生存和发展的国际空间。本文从静态的李嘉图方程组出发,采用均衡和非均衡动态分析的方法,研究生物经济背景下农产品国际贸易的最优格局及发展趋势。要提高我国农产品的国际竞争力,作为农业经营的主体———农村劳动力素质的提高、农村人力资本的积累和发展是最为迫切,也是最为重要的。
With the wide application of biotechnology, human life will surely undergo tremendous changes. It will also be a radical innovation for the future international trade pattern of agricultural products. China should seize the historic opportunity of catching up and reorganization timely and select the best development model to seize the international space for survival and development under the economic age of “new civilization.” Based on the static Ricardian equations, this paper uses equilibrium and non-equilibrium dynamic analysis to study the optimal pattern and development trend of international trade of agricultural products under the background of bioeconomy. To improve the international competitiveness of China’s agricultural products, as the main body of agricultural management --- the improvement of the quality of rural labor force, the accumulation and development of rural human capital are the most urgent and most important.