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2005年2月16日《京都协定书》正式生效,这意味着国际社会对于减排温室气体、抑制碳排放的增长进入了一个新阶段。于此中国责无旁贷,但随着改革开放和外资的大量引进,我国的环境状况也是逐年恶化。本文对此将从外商直接投资的规模效应和外资企业连带的技术溢出两个方面分别利用29个省和工业34个细分行业的年度数据的动态面板数据实证分析外国直接投资对我国碳排放的影响程度。本文得出结论:行业外资产值比重的滞后期与碳排放呈显著正相关,行业外资职工比重的滞后期与碳排放呈显著负相关。最终建议国家应该有选择性的吸收外资,并努力强化外资带来的积极效应,弱化其负面影响。
February 16, 2005 “Kyoto Protocol” came into force, which means that the international community for the emission reduction of greenhouse gases, carbon emissions growth has entered a new phase. In this regard, China is duty-bound, but with the introduction of the reform and opening up and the massive introduction of foreign investment, the environmental conditions in our country are deteriorating year by year. In this paper, we use the dynamic panel data of annual data of 29 provinces and industries in 34 sub-industries separately from the scale effect of foreign direct investment and the related technology spillover of foreign-funded enterprises to empirically analyze the impact of FDI on China’s carbon emissions influence level. This paper concludes that the lag phase of the proportion of industrial output value is significantly and positively correlated with carbon emissions, while the lag phase of the proportion of industrial foreign workers is negatively correlated with carbon emissions. Finally, it is suggested that the country should selectively absorb foreign investment and make every effort to strengthen the positive effect brought by foreign investment and weaken its negative impact.