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基于LMDI模型,对中原经济区2003—2012年碳排放的影响因素进行分解.研究表明,经济发展是中原经济区碳排放增长的主要因素,能源消耗强度的降低对碳排放具有显著的抑制作用,处于快速工业化的中原经济区产业结构调整在一定程度上促进了碳排放的增长,同时,人口增长对碳排放增长也有一定的促进作用,而能源结构的改善(碳排放系数降低)对碳排放有一定的抑制作用,而且这些影响因素的作用强度及方向处于动态变化之中;资源环境、城镇化、区域发展战略等对碳排放变化也有较大影响.以上因素相互作用、相互影响,形成了低碳经济发展的驱动机制.
Based on the LMDI model, the factors influencing the carbon emissions of the Central Plains Economic Region from 2003 to 2012 are decomposed.The research shows that economic development is the main factor of carbon emissions growth in the Central Plains Economic Region, and the reduction of energy consumption intensity has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emissions, Industrial restructuring in the rapidly industrializing Central Plains Economic Zone has contributed to the growth of carbon emissions to a certain extent. At the same time, population growth also contributed to the growth of carbon emissions. However, the improvement of energy structure (reduction of carbon emission coefficient) And the intensity and direction of the impact of these factors are in a dynamic change; resources and environment, urbanization, regional development strategies also have a greater impact on carbon emissions changes.The above factors interact with each other, forming a low The driving mechanism of carbon economy development.