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可靠性数学校型及可靠度计算，可靠性预测是可靠性分析研究的最基本问题．对于失效模式多而且组合关系复杂、影响可靠性的因素众多的产品，建立合理简化的工程分析教学模型是当前尚待解决的课题。舰载近程箔条于扰弹系统就是一个多因素的相关系统．文本以一种舰载箔条弹为例，基于一些合理近似假设，筛选出对可靠性影响最大的若干主要因素，考虑其随机特性、相关关系及其统计特性的描述，运用可靠性理论，建立了舰载箔条干扰弹的工程实用的可靠性教学模型及其可靠性预计方法．提出的方法能适用于箔条干扰弹及其它相似产品的设计、研制阶段。，使用证实结果令人满意
Reliability Mathematical model and reliability calculation, reliability prediction is the most basic problem of reliability analysis. For products with many failure modes and complicated combination relations and many factors that affect the reliability, establishing a reasonable and simplified teaching model of engineering analysis is a currently unresolved issue. Carrier-borne short-range chaff on the bombshell system is a multi-factor related system. Based on some reasonable approximation assumptions, this paper chooses a few ship-borne chaff bombs to screen out some of the most important factors that have the greatest impact on reliability, and considers the description of their random characteristics, correlations and their statistical properties. By using the reliability theory, The Engineering Practical Reliability Teaching Model of Carrier Chaff Jamming and Its Reliability Prediction Method. The proposed method can be applied to the design and development of chaff jammers and other similar products. , Use proved satisfactory