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作为新古典国际贸易理论的基本理论之一,罗勃津斯基定理曾产生过极大影响,并受到了大量经验数据的检验和挑战。虽然经过几十年的研究和发展,包括该定理在内的整个新古典国际贸易理论被彻底推翻,但是大多数基于经验数据的检验大多并非是以现代计量经济学为手段。该文使用格兰杰因果检验和面板数据模型两种工具,对罗氏定理进行了现代计量经济学研究,并得出了和前人相似的结论。同时对造成新古典国际贸易理论失效的原因进行理论分析。
As one of the basic theories of neoclassical international trade theory, the theory of Robzinski has had a great impact, and has been a large number of empirical data test and challenge. Although after decades of research and development, the entire neoclassical theory of international trade including the theorem has been completely overthrown, most of the tests based on empirical data are not based on modern econometrics. In this paper, Granger causality test and panel data model two tools, the Roche theorem carried out a modern econometrics, and draw conclusions similar to previous generations. At the same time, it makes a theoretical analysis of the causes of the failure of the neoclassical international trade theory.