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在经济全球化时代,美国与中国作为世界上GDP第一和第二大经济体,经济联系紧密。特朗普主张的一系列经济政策,特别是其逆全球化的贸易政策,将对我国产业发展产生深远影响。我国出口贸易对产业发展的支撑作用有可能进一步下降,部分行业也将成为贸易保护的重灾区,而受美国制造业回流政策的影响,我国产业空心化和失业风险可能会增加。与此同时,美国战略收缩给我国“一带一路”建设腾出空间,有利于我国在“一带一路”沿线国家的产业转移和贸易取得突破性进展。
In the era of economic globalization, the United States and China, as the world’s largest and second largest economy, have close economic ties. A series of economic policies advocated by Trump, especially its anti-globalization trade policy, will have a far-reaching impact on the development of China’s industry. The supportive role of China’s export trade in industrial development is likely to decline further, and some industries will also become hardest hit by the protection of trade. However, under the influence of the return policy of the U.S. manufacturing industry, the risk of industrialization and unemployment in our country may increase. At the same time, the U.S. strategic contraction will make room for the construction of our “Belt and Road” and will help make a breakthrough in the industrial transfer and trade in our country along the “Belt and a-Way”.