Spot fire increase the difficulty of fire-fighting and threaten public safety,and therefore it is important to study ignition probabilities of fuel bed by different fire-brands,in order to understand ignition mechanisms and analyze the formation of spot fires.This will provide an important basis for further study to improve the fire-fighting efficiency and reduce casualties.In this study,the ignition probabilities of larch (Larix gmelinii) fuel beds with differ-ent moisture levels and packing ratios by diffreent firebrands,including cones and twigs of different sizes,was investi-gated.Ignition experiments were conducted at different wind speeds generated by fans.The results show that,regardless of moisture content and packing ratio,ignition probability is zero when there is no wind.Both moisture content and wind speed significantly influence ignition probability,while packing ratio has almost no effect.The maximum moisture content at which firebrand ignition occurred was 50％,and ignition probability increased with wind speed and decreased with moisture content.Cones have the highest ignition prob-ability,followed by large twigs and by small twigs.Ignition probability is also affected by firebrand shapes and sizes that determine their potential heat and contact area to the fuel bed.Two empirical models were established to link ignition probability with fuel properties and wind speed.This study will help clarify the mechanism of spot ignition and reduce corresponding losses.