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通过世界主要制造业国家的投入产出表数据,实证分析服务化对制造业的产业绩效与生产率变化的影响,研究发现:制造业“服务化”主要表现为“双刃剑”式中性影响,行业如果通过产业调整能实现增长,那么在服务化的背景下行业的绩效与全要素生产率(TFP)就会自发出现“自我促进”的良性循环发展,反之服务化也会放大对行业负面的影响,出现所谓的“服务化困境”。因此工业化与服务业应保持相对较为均衡的发展,不应当在实体产业不完善的条件下盲目发展相关服务业。
Through the data of input-output tables of the major manufacturing countries in the world, this paper empirically analyzes the influence of service-oriented on the industrial performance and the productivity change of the manufacturing industry. The results show that manufacturing industry is mainly characterized by “double-edged sword” If the industry can achieve growth through industrial restructuring, the performance and total factor productivity (TFP) of the industry will spontaneously develop a virtuous cycle of “self-promotion” in the context of service-orientedization. On the contrary, the service-oriented Will amplify the negative impact on the industry, the emergence of the so-called “service dilemma ”. Therefore, the industrialization and service industries should maintain relatively balanced development and should not blindly develop relevant service industries under the imperfect real industry.