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对我国基本养老保险来说,基金的安全与平衡至关重要。要控制基金风险,辨析风险因素尤为重要。目前,理论研究方面,介绍风险因素的文章不少,但系统地分析各因素之间层级关系的文章不多。本文从系统的角度,应用结构模型的研究方法对影响我国基本养老保险基金的相关因素进行了分级,解释了各因素对基金安全的影响路径以及因素之间的相互作用关系,并针对上述关系提出了相关政策制定与执行的建议,以期较完整地理解风险、提供更好的决策支持。
For the basic old-age insurance in our country, the safety and balance of the fund are of utmost importance. To control the fund risk, discrimination risk factors are particularly important. At present, there are a lot of articles about risk factors in theoretical research, but there are not many articles that systematically analyze the hierarchical relationship among various factors. In this paper, from the perspective of the system, we apply the method of structural model to classify the relevant factors that affect the basic pension insurance fund of our country, explain the influence path of each factor on the fund safety and the interaction between the factors, and propose the above relations The policy formulation and implementation of the recommendations, with a view to a more complete understanding of the risks and provide better decision support.