有越来越多的国际预言家认为中国经济面临崩溃的拐点,这有违事实。中国经济有风险,但未面临崩溃拐点。如果我们只看中小企业,只看出口企业,对中国经济将十分悲观。笔者在东部沿海地区访问的绝大多数中小企业都面临成本上升、人民币升值的双重压力,他们处于“不生产等死、生产找死”的尴尬处境之中。如果目前的汇率升值延续,原材料与劳动力价格上升无法缓解,今年将 It is a violation of the fact that more and more international prophets think the Chinese economy is facing a turning point. The Chinese economy is risky but has not yet faced the collapse point. If we look at small and medium-sized enterprises and look at export-oriented enterprises, we will be very pessimistic about the Chinese economy. The vast majority of SMEs interviewed by the author in the eastern coastal areas face the dual pressures of rising costs and the appreciation of the renminbi. They are in the awkward position of not producing and waiting for death. If the current appreciation of the exchange rate continues, rising raw material and labor prices can not be alleviated this year will be