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2016年以来,世界经济难以摆脱低迷增长,全球复苏步伐举步维艰,外部不确定性增多;国内传统外贸优势逐步削弱,新兴竞争优势有待形成,我国对外贸易维持弱势运行。展望2017年,世界经济增长动力不足,外部需求改善程度有限,国内宏观经济下行压力较大,我国对外贸易进出口形势仍难有大幅改善。但G20共识逐步落实、人民币加入SDR、外贸扶持政策显效等因素将支持外贸平稳运行。笔者建议下一步加快转变贸易发展方式,加强“一带一路”建设,引
Since 2016, it is difficult for the world economy to get out of sluggish growth. The pace of global recovery has been struggling and external uncertainties have increased. The advantages of traditional domestic foreign trade have been gradually weakened, emerging competitive advantages have yet to be formed, and our foreign trade has remained weak. Looking forward to 2017, the world economy is under-powered, with limited improvement in external demand and greater downward pressure on domestic macroeconomic. As a result, the situation of China’s foreign trade import and export will still be hard to be drastically improved. However, the G20 consensus is gradually implemented. With the addition of RMB to the SDR, effective foreign trade support policies and other factors will support the smooth operation of foreign trade. The author suggests that the next step be to speed up the transformation of the mode of trade development and strengthen the building of the Belt and Road Initiative.