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我国主要木材原料进口数量弹性降低,进口价格弹性加大。进口的内部与外部替代,显示主要木材原料数量的刚性增长与热带材进口大幅减少,危及木材安全。随着德班谈判平台启动,REDD+融资加速、碳价格增长,支持者期望通过对森林储碳的潜力赋予货币价值来推动对森林的保护,中长期国际木材贸易,影响较为明显。
The elasticity of the import volume of China’s major timber raw materials will decrease, and the import price elasticity will increase. The internal and external substitution of imports shows a rigid increase in the volume of the main wood raw materials and a substantial reduction in the import of tropical timber, jeopardizing timber safety. With the launch of the Durban negotiating platform, accelerated financing of REDD + and carbon price growth, backers hope to promote the protection of forests by conferring monetary value on the potential of carbon sequestration in forests. The impact on long-term international timber trade will be more pronounced.