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本文在探讨货币政策与我国通货膨胀及真实GDP传导机理的基础上,通过建立SVAR模型,利用脉冲响应和方差分解的方法,分析了货币政策冲击对我国通货膨胀及真实GDP的影响。研究结果表明:广义货币M2增长率、通货膨胀和GDP增长率之间存在着显著地动态关系。
Based on the discussion of monetary policy and the mechanism of inflation and real GDP transmission in our country, this paper analyzes the impact of monetary policy shocks on China’s inflation and real GDP through the establishment of SVAR model and impulse response and variance decomposition method. The results show that there is a significant dynamic relationship between M2 growth rate, inflation and GDP growth rate.