一、引言2003年以来油价呈迅猛的增长态势,已由30美元/桶增长到了现在的60美元/桶,如图1所示。高油价会带动产油国加大投资以增加供给,但产油国是否进行投资还取决于产油国的政治经济条件,进而未来石油供应增长潜力将取决于主要产油国的经济自由化程度。经济自由化程度与市场化 I. INTRODUCTION The rapid growth of oil prices since 2003 has risen from 30 U.S. dollars / barrel to the current 60 U.S. dollars / barrel, as shown in Figure 1. High oil prices will push the oil-producing countries to increase their investment to increase supply. However, whether the oil-producing countries make investments depends on the political and economic conditions of the oil-producing countries. The potential for oil supply growth in the future will depend on the degree of economic liberalization in major oil-producing countries . Economic Liberalization and Marketization