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本文利用1978-2009年农林牧渔业、交通运输及仓储和邮政业、批发和零售业、住宿和餐饮业、金融业、房地产业六大行业的经济增长率和CPI上涨率数据,通过回归分析、格兰杰因果检验,研究了通货膨胀对各个行业经济增长的影响。并在此基础上提出,如果政府能够根据各行业的特点,在物价水平较高时期对不同的行业采取差别化的经济政策,将会有利于控制各行业经济增长率的波动。
In this paper, we use the data of economic growth rate and CPI inflation rate of the six major industries of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, transportation and warehousing and postal services, wholesale and retail trade, accommodation and catering industry, finance and real estate from 1978 to 2009, and through regression analysis , Granger causality test to study the impact of inflation on the economic growth of various industries. On the basis of this, it is suggested that if the government can take a differentiated economic policy toward different industries in the period of high price level according to the characteristics of various industries, it will be conducive to controlling the fluctuations in the economic growth rate of various industries.